
On Wednesday, world financial markets surged as optimism among investors was regained after a change in US President Donald Trump’s stance on monetary policy and the issue of trade with China. Markets responded vigorously when Trump softened his earlier strident remarks against Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and signaled a willingness to lower tariffs on Chinese imports. This more conciliatory tone calmed investors, leading to a broad gain in equity markets and a rise in the value of the US dollar.
Trump Softens Rhetoric on Fed and Tariffs
According to Reuters, European markets rose sharply on Wednesday, driven by restored investor confidence after President Trump informed markets that he had no plans to dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Additionally, Trump hinted at the idea of lowering tariffs on Chinese imports, implying a potential de-escalation in the ongoing US-China trade war. Initially, the dollar rose in response to Trump’s comments about Powell, which had previously raised concerns about the Fed’s independence. However, after European markets opened, much of these gains were erased.
On Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed his view that trade tensions between the US and China would probably relax. Yet he added that real negotiations with Beijing had yet to start and would most likely be a long process. Chris Weston, the research head at broker Pepperstone, commented that, early though it is, market sentiment does seem to be shifting. He said in a statement,
“While it is still early days, the mood in the market is evidently shifting, and what was a strong ’sell America’ vibe flowing through markets yesterday has in part reversed. Markets are becoming ever more conditioned to the president shooting from the hip and then reversing the stance like it was never a big issue.”
Market Rally Across Major Indices
Recent comments from President Trump helped counteract the negative impact of earlier comments, supporting world markets. European stocks, specifically the Stoxx 600, increased 1.9%, and US markets were poised to follow through with gains. Treasury yields fell, and Bitcoin passed $90,000. Gold prices fell as demand for safe-haven investments fell off. U.S. equity futures rose, while the dollar strengthened for the second day in a row.
Asian stocks also rallied, while shares of Tesla climbed following reports that CEO Elon Musk had looked to restrict his government role. This shift in words sparked a global surge, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 and South Korea’s KOSPI up 2.3% and 1.2%, respectively.
European markets trailed, with the STOXX 600 gaining 1.8% and major markets in Germany, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom gaining 2% to 3%. In the US, equity futures gained more than 2% on expectations of a dovish Fed and easing trade tensions with China.
A Cautious Optimism Amid Economic Uncertainty
The economic outlook remains murky, despite good market movements. The IMF recently reduced its global growth projection due to persistent trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties. Economic data from the Eurozone also show a decline in private sector activity, raising concerns of a worldwide slowdown. European companies expect a major 3.5% loss in first-quarter earnings, the steepest drop in two years.
Despite these hurdles, US Treasury Secretary Bessent remains cautiously hopeful, stating that a trade agreement with China might provide a critical lift to global markets. However, he warned that the negotiation process would be lengthy and hard due to the strongly entrenched stances of both countries.