Are you considering investing in Toncoin(TON) and want a clear, data-backed view before moving? This TON price analysis breaks down everything you need to know, from recent price action to key support and resistance levels, plus essential shifts in momentum. Whether you’re eyeing a quick trade or planning a longer-term position, having a solid read on TON’s technical setup could give you a significant edge. Let’s dive in and see where Toncoin might be headed next. Let’s dive into how TON performed over the past sessions and what indicators reveal its next potential move.
TON Price Analysis of 28th April, 2025
On April 27, 2025, the price action of TON on a 5-minute chart shows a bearish opening with Toncoin falling into a descending channel. The price started to weaken between 00:00 and 03:00 UTC, slowly towards $3.30 around 02:00 UTC. During this stretch, the RSI hovered near oversold territory multiple times, confirming weakening momentum. Meanwhile, MACD signaled bearish sentiment with a series of death crosses in this range. Although a minor recovery surfaced after 02:00 UTC, it quickly transitioned into a narrow sideways channel between $3.30 and $3.34, limiting gains to 04:25 UTC as bullish pressure remained capped.
Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on April 28th, 2025.
Between 03:00 UTC and 06:00 UTC, TON price once again turned bearish, breaking out of its sideways range into another descending channel. Steady selling pressure pushed the price downward, eventually testing the strong support zone at $3.21 by 17:30 UTC. RSI dipped into oversold regions multiple times, highlighting seller dominance. However, MACD began showing hints of bullish divergence around the lower support band, with a golden cross formation brewing. This technical hint prefaced a sharp reversal in momentum, setting the stage for a quick recovery toward resistance levels later in the session.
Between 18:00 UTC and 21:00 UTC, TON price staged a significant rebound, marked by a vertical spike at 19:20 UTC, which led to Toncoin breakout to the primary $3.34 resistance level by 19:55 UTC. The Toncoin price briefly stayed above this barrier but faced immediate profit-booking, triggering another decline. During the surge, RSI readings ventured into overbought zones, while MACD posted golden crosses across this phase, suggesting intense but short-lived bullish sentiment. By 22:05 UTC, bears regained control, forcing TON into another downward channel, retracing gains back toward the $3.21 support line into the early hours of April 28.
TON Price Outlook – What’s Next for Toncoin?
On April 28, from 00:00 UTC onwards, the TON price found solid footing near $3.21 and entered a fresh ascending channel from 02:10 UTC. This led to a strong rally toward the $3.34 resistance level again, momentarily breaching it around 08:05 UTC before slipping back under. During this recovery, RSI readings oscillated between overbought and neutral zones, while MACD showed mixed signals with intermittent golden and death crosses. As of now, Toncoin price is consolidating just under the $3.34 resistance, reflecting a cautious sentiment as bulls and bears battle for control near a critical technical threshold.
Toncoin Breakout or Another Rejection?
TON price is clearly at a crossroads as it hovers just below the key $3.34 resistance. Buyers have shown strength, but repeated rejections suggest sellers are still in the game. If TON can finally break and hold above $3.34, we could quickly see a push toward $3.38 and $3.42. However, a drop to $3.27 or even $3.21 isn’t off the table if the momentum fades again. The RSI and MACD indicators currently send mixed signals, so patience is key. Traders should watch closely whether TON can turn this consolidation into a real breakout. The next big move is building; whichever side wins is likely to be sharp.
Toncoin(TON) Price Analysis of April 30th, 2025
The TON price action on a 5-minute chart on April 29, 2025, began with a prolonged sideways path ranging between $3.24 and $3.30. This trading range held consistently from 00:00 UTC through to around 14:30 UTC. During this period, RSI hovered near neutral levels but showed brief dips toward 40, indicating weakening momentum. The MACD line crossed below the signal line around 03:00 and again near 09:00 UTC, suggesting bearish sentiment was building. Despite multiple minor rallies, the price failed to sustain above $3.30, reinforcing the upper boundary as a short-term resistance level.
Chart 2, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on April 30th, 2025.
From 14:30 UTC to around 23:00 UTC, TON price decisively exited its sideways trend and entered a well-defined downtrend channel. The Toncoin price began to decline from near $3.28 and gradually slid past the support region of $3.185. By 23:00 UTC, it finally reached lows of around $3.15 in a significant trend break. In the process, RSI dropped into oversold three times (about 16:30, 19:30, 22:00 UTC), reinforcing bearish behavior. The MACD made death crosses between 15:00 UTC and 22:00 UTC, while each wave of lower lows corresponded to the MACD. The selling was relentless.
TON Recovery and New Trend Structure
By 23:10 UTC on April 29, TON price began to show signs of a recovery, bouncing from the $3.15 support level. This initiated a short but steady rebound that transitioned into a stronger uptrend starting on April 30 at around 01:50 UTC. The Toncoin price consistently made higher and lower highs, forming an uptrend channel. Within this period, the RSI rose from below 30 to briefly hit overbought territory around 03:00 UTC, showing sharp bullish momentum. The MACD confirmed this uptrend with a golden cross just before 00:00 UTC, followed by a continued widening of the MACD histogram bars.
The UC continued strongly until around 05:00 UTC, with price peaking at $3.24, matching the earlier resistance seen on April 29. After this point, TON failed to break through the $3.24 barrier and entered a sideways drift. Between 05:00 and 09:00 UTC, price action became less directional, hovering between $3.21 and $3.24. RSI pulled back from overbought levels and hovered near 53, suggesting weakening buying pressure. A MACD death cross followed around 06:00 UTC, signaling that momentum was fading and a consolidation phase might be underway.
TON Price Outlook – What Lies Ahead for Toncoin?
During the most recent section of the chart, from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC, TON price exhibited low volatility with minor price fluctuations within a tight $3.22–$3.24 band. This period reflects typical post-uptrend consolidation, often forming before a breakout or a deeper retracement. RSI remained balanced near the midline, and MACD histogram bars diminished, indicating neutrality. Despite the earlier rejection near $3.24, the lack of heavy selling below $3.22 suggests buyers are still cautiously present. The Toncoin price behavior leans slightly bullish but awaits a clearer breakout signal to define the next direction.
TON Recovery Slows Near Resistance, Bulls Need Break Above $3.24 to Extend Rally
TON price appears poised for further upside if it can breach the $3.24 resistance convincingly, potentially targeting $3.28–$3.30 next. Momentum is currently neutral to mildly bullish, supported by the TON recovery from the $3.15 level and recent uptrend structure. Strong support remains near $3.18–$3.15, while resistance persists at $3.24 and $3.30. RSI’s recent overbought signal, followed by stabilization near 53, suggests room for another push. Meanwhile, the latest MACD death brings enthusiasm, hinting at needed consolidation. The market awaits a breakout, but bullish continuation remains favored unless price breaks below $3.18 support.
Toncoin(TON) Price Analysis of May 2nd, 2025
The TON price action on a 5-minute chart over the past 24 hours began with a short-lived downtrend channel on May 1, pulling the price from around $3.22 to the $3.13 region by 07:00 UTC. Buyers stepped in near this lower zone, helping to build momentum toward the $3.16 support area. A steady uptrend developed from that base and gradually lifted the price through minor pullbacks. By the 12:00–15:00 UTC window, Toncoin price reached close to the $3.24 region, testing minor resistance before briefly retreating again. RSI had previously signaled oversold near the $3.13 level and flipped to overbought around $3.23, aligning with this reversal.
Chart 3- Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on May 2nd, 2025.
From 15:00 to 18:00 UTC, the Toncoin price dropped sharply from $3.22 to $3.16 in under 40 minutes, cutting through the prior uptrend. This bearish swing was short-lived as buyers reignited a fresh rally from the support level at $3.16. By 16:40 UTC, the rally reached $3.26, close to the identified resistance zone, before facing rejection. The RSI again touched overbought territory around this rejection, while MACD showed a brief golden cross near the start of the climb, followed by a weakening histogram just before the decline. This price rejection confirmed $3.26 as a strong near-term resistance.
A Range-Bound Pause Before a Breakout Attempt
Between 18:00 UTC and the new trading day on May 2, TON price consolidated in a sideways path between $3.195 and $3.230. Despite multiple MACD crossovers during this range, no sustained momentum was established. The RSI hovered mostly between neutral and slightly overbought, lacking substantial divergence or trend clues. Price repeatedly failed to break above $3.23, and a minor support held firm around $3.195, showing balanced pressure from buyers and sellers. This trading range acted as a reset phase following earlier volatility, with MACD histogram values staying minimal and RSI unable to trigger overbought or oversold signals with conviction.
As the new trading day began, the TON price emerged from the consolidation with renewed bullish momentum. During the 00:00–03:00 UTC window on May 2, the price climbed rapidly from $3.20 toward the resistance level again, briefly tagging $3.26 by 03:10 UTC. However, that level proved stubborn once more, leading to another rejection. RSI touched overbought right before the reversal, while MACD also printed a golden cross just ahead of the peak, indicating a bullish push, but quickly followed by a bearish histogram shift. This quick shift mirrored earlier failed breakout attempts, underlining $3.26 as a ceiling that continues to cap bullish extensions.
New Downtrend Reverses Short-Term Sentiment
After the rejection from $3.26, TON price entered a downtrend channel, declining steadily through the 03:00–06:00 and 06:00–09:00 UTC. It touched lows near $3.18 before attempting a minor rebound. This fall, RSI dropped into oversold territory briefly around 06:40 UTC before recovering, suggesting potential for a base formation. MACD showed multiple death crosses, confirming the bearish momentum, but the histogram began contracting as the price approached $3.18, hinting at seller fatigue. As of the last candle on the chart, the price bounced back above $3.20, potentially forming a short-term higher low and suggesting TON recovery signs.
Price Faces Resistance Headwinds Despite TON Recovery Attempts
TON continues to respect the $3.16 support and $3.26 resistance, creating a defined range for short-term traders. Momentum recently turned bearish after a rejection from the upper boundary, but buyers showed resilience at $3.18. With each significant swing, RSI has cycled between overbought and oversold, highlighting volatility but no clear directional dominance. MACD recently flipped from bearish to neutral, with the histogram flattening as the Toncoin price recovers. If TON sustains above $3.20, a retest of $3.26 is possible. However, a break below $3.18 may open the door toward $3.16 again. For now, momentum remains slightly bearish, but TON recovery signs are emerging.
Toncoin(TON) Price Analysis of May 06th, 2025
The TON price action over the last 24 hours shows an early continuation of the multi-day downtrend, followed by a sideways pause and a brief bullish breakout attempt. From 09:00-12:00 UTC, the Toncoin price steadily dropped within a downtrend channel, even reaching an intraday low of $2.973 by 10:45 UTC. This marked the first significant support interaction, and prices soon entered a sideways consolidation between the key resistance level at $3.020 and support near $2.940. The RSI dipped into the oversold zone during the fall, confirming bearish momentum, while the MACD printed a golden cross around 11:30 UTC, suggesting potential for reversal.
Chart 4- TON/USDT M5 Chart, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on May 6th, 2025.
From 12:00 to 18:00 UTC, TON price remained locked within this sideways path, oscillating in a tight band between $2.99 and $3.01. A temporary TON breakout was attempted near 18:50 UTC, pushing the price above $3.020, but this quickly reversed, forming a fake breakout pattern. The RSI entered overbought territory during this spike, indicating short-term buyer exhaustion, while the MACD line began curling down shortly after, leading to a bearish crossover. These indicator movements aligned with the rejection from resistance and hinted at a possible trap for late buyers during this false surge.
Shift to Uptrend and Resistance Struggles
From 18:00 to 00:00 UTC, TON price retested its lower levels and briefly dipped again to $2.978 before finding renewed support. A slow buildup of bullish momentum began in this phase. RSI recovered from near-oversold conditions, and a second golden cross emerged on the MACD at around 23:30 UTC, validating early bullish signals. By 00:45 UTC on May 6, price action confirmed entry into a new uptrend channel, with higher highs and higher lows gradually forming. Buyers started testing the $3.020 resistance zone again as volume increased modestly.
Between 00:00 and 06:00 UTC, the price executed a clean TON breakout above $3.020 around 04:25 UTC and touched a 24-hour high of $3.036. However, the move lacked follow-through strength. The RSI quickly re-entered the overbought region, while MACD momentum began to flatten. By 05:35 UTC, TON fell back below resistance, failing to establish a strong hold above the breakout level. This hinted at weakening bullish conviction and suggested the market still lacked the momentum needed for a sustained rally.
Price Hovers Below Resistance After Rejection
In the most recent stretch leading up to 09:00 UTC, Toncoin price made another attempt to reclaim the $3.020 resistance level around 06:45 UTC but again failed to hold. Prices slipped back toward $2.995, stabilizing in a narrow band just beneath the resistance ceiling. The RSI cooled off from its earlier overbought state and now hovers near the neutral zone. MACD formed a new bearish crossover, indicating reduced upward pressure. This behavior reflects growing hesitation among buyers, with the market likely awaiting clearer direction before initiating the next trend leg.
Bulls Need Strong Push to Reclaim Control
TON’s price appears trapped just below its $3.020 resistance ceiling after two failed breakout attempts. Momentum has shifted into neutral territory, with both buyers and sellers cautious. The RSI shows signs of exhaustion following back-to-back overbought signals, and the MACD now tilts bearish after its recent death cross. If TON price fails to reclaim $3.020 with conviction, a retest of $2.973 or even the broader $2.940 support zone remains possible. However, if bulls regain momentum with volume confirmation, a clean break above $3.036 could open the path toward $3.06 in the short term.
Toncoin(TON) Price Analysis of May 8th, 2025
The TON price action over the last 24 hours manifests a transition from a sideways path to a consistent uptrend. Between 09:55 and 12:55 UTC on May 7, the price moved within a tight consolidation zone between $3.030 and $2.997. A bearish fade followed as TON dipped below the support level, reaching $2.980 by around 16:25 UTC. During this phase, the RSI briefly dipped into the oversold territory, reflecting seller control. The MACD also confirmed bearish momentum with a death cross around 15:30 UTC, further reinforcing downward pressure before flattening into a neutral stance.
Chart 5- TON/USDT M5 Chart, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on May 8th, 2025.
From 12:55 to 18:55 UTC, TON price oscillated sideways around the $2.980 mark before initiating a gradual recovery. A moderate uptrend formed by 19:30 UTC, with price making a slow move back toward $3.030. RSI began rising steadily but remained neutral until a brief overbought spike near 00:00 UTC. MACD displayed a golden cross around 21:00 UTC, suggesting a subtle shift in momentum favoring buyers. However, price still faced friction at $3.032, highlighting that bulls had not fully regained control at this point.
Buyers Regain Control with Stronger Momentum
Between 00:55 and 03:55 UTC on May 8, the prices began a sharp Toncoin rally, breaking through the previous resistance at $3.060. This TON breakout transformed that level into a key support zone. The bullish surge was supported by a strong RSI breakout into the overbought region and a golden cross on the MACD, signaling confirmation of upward momentum. Buyers continued to dominate as the price formed a new uptrend channel toward the next resistance around $3.130. This marked a notable sentiment shift, backed by higher volume and consistent support holding above $3.060 during pullbacks.
Between 03:55 and 06:55 UTC, TON price advanced further, climbing toward $3.123 and momentarily stalling just under $3.130. The RSI entered overbought territory multiple times, hinting at exhaustion risks even as the uptrend held. MACD momentum started to flatten, followed by a death cross around 06:00 UTC, suggesting a potential short-term cooling phase. Despite this, buyers held ground above the new support. The lack of immediate rejection below $3.100 indicated that bulls were still present, though no further breakout occurred during this period.
Consolidation Near Resistance After TON Breakout
In the most recent 3-hour window from 06:55 to 09:55 UTC, TON price attempted another push toward $3.130 but failed to break it convincingly. Price moved sideways just below the resistance level, fluctuating slightly around $3.123. RSI dipped from overbought territory but stayed above midline levels, showing balanced sentiment. MACD stayed slightly bearish with its signal line above the histogram, confirming that bullish strength has softened but not fully faded. Price has respected the new support near $3.100, indicating consolidation rather than rejection. Market participants appear to be waiting for further signals before committing to the next direction.
Toncoin Rally Pauses Below Resistance as Bulls Eye Breakout
TON’s recent breakout shows bullish strength, but the price has stalled just under key resistance at $3.130. Momentum is still leaning bullish, but it is showing early signs of exhaustion. If $3.100 holds as support, TON could attempt another breakout above $3.130 toward $3.150. Failure to breach could lead to a pullback into the $3.060 zone. RSI is cooling from repeated overbought spikes, and MACD’s recent death cross hints at waning momentum. Still, the structure remains bullish as long as the price holds above $3.100. Expect a decisive move soon, either a TON breakout toward higher resistance or a reset into consolidation.
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